2024 Mid-Year Report

2024 Mid-Year Analysis

Download the 2024 Mid-Year Report

 

Shelter Animals Count’s 2024 Mid-Year Analysis compares January through June to prior years. 

 

Dig Into Historical Data with New Dashboard

 

The National Animal Welfare Statistics Dashboard provides aggregate data on the total number of dogs and cats entering and leaving organizations across the country. These national estimates are created using collected data from over 6,000 organizations from 2016-2023. 

 

Frequently Asked Questions

There is currently no other estimate that includes all organization types and sizes for national animal welfare data. Understanding the number of animals entering and leaving the animal welfare system allows for more and better support of organizations providing services for these animals. 

These totals are estimates based on all reported data to Shelter Animals Count since January 2016. It is best used as national totals. As more data is submitted and more research is conducted on what factors impact intakes/outcomes at the organization-level, these estimates will be adjusted. The estimates are rounded to the nearest 1,000 to allow for simplicity in communication. 

Data is recorded monthly and includes January 2016-June 2024.

Organizations self-identify their organization type. Shelters include organizations with a physical building location such as government animal services, shelters/rescues with a government contract and shelters without a government contract. Rescues include organizations without a physical building and that rely on fosters for operation. 

Monthly data is submitted voluntarily and therefore the number of organizations reporting each month varies. To eliminate the influence of this variation, the average and median number of monthly intakes over time was reviewed, allowing us to see clear seasonal patterns and medians were determined as the best option for determining national numbers.  

 

Monthly medians were determined for each individual organization type and species (dog and cat). Those monthly medians were then applied to the total number of shelters and rescues included in the Complete Organization List created in partnership with Adopt A Pet. This includes 4,915 shelters (government animal services, shelters/rescues with a government contract, private shelters without a government contract) and 9,515 rescues (rescues without a government contract). Rescues are more likely to be focused on either cats or dogs, so based on Adopt A Pet’s ratio of how many rescues adopt out cats and how many adopt out dogs, that number of rescue organizations was applied. 

The model for national intakes is based on community intakes (e.g. strays, owner surrenders, born in care, seized, etc). Transfer numbers are not included as those would result in double-counting an animal before a “final” outcome such as adoption. Organizations identified as foster-based rescues are primary transfer partners for government funded and private organizations. We assume that animals have an initial community intake and therefore do not count their transfer as an additional intake. 

 

Similarly, national outcomes do not include transfers out as that is not a “final” outcome for the animal.  

There is currently no research that provides associations between any demographic data, human population or external data to intakes or outcomes. Many elements could impact intakes for an organization that are both within the organization’s control, such as managed or selective intake or outcome protocols, and outside of the organization’s control such as economic changes or population density. Without research to confirm how these factors impact intakes and outcomes, applying them to the model would be arbitrary. 

The animal welfare industry has primarily been focused on reporting about what has happened in the past when the reality is, we can’t change the past, but we can impact the future.

 

Shelter Animals Count is in the unique position of having monthly data from all organization types and sizes to develop not only a national total of animals, but a forecast of where the industry might be at the end of the year. Forecasting allows for individual organizations and national animal welfare organizations an opportunity to make changes that could improve outcomes for the year.   
A time series model using Holt-Winter triple smoothing was applied to the data to forecast out the remaining 6 months of 2024.  
 
Monthly data is submitted voluntarily and therefore the number of organizations reporting each month varies. After testing several models, the time series model using Holt-Winter triple smoothing applied to monthly medians was determined to be the best for estimating future values. 
The forecast is based on historical seasonality and trends. It is an estimation. It cannot predict impact of major events (e.g. a natural disaster, pandemic, etc.) that could drastically change the actual data. 
 
The current version is best used to see future trends. It is based on national data and therefore individual organizations may not experience the same changes as is predicted nationally.